Zeng Jianqiu, time the proportion of number portab

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SAN November 23 message, Beijing University of Posts and Professor of Economics and Management Technology Forum Jianqiu and TD guest today, the Secretary-General Sina time to issues such as number portability to start chatting. Video: Fall time has built a guest Sina On number portability Media Source: Sina Technology

Zeng Jianqiu that, from a global perspective, number portability or number portability policies have been implemented in many countries, the process of doing a basic experience or conclusions of number portability implemented this policy since the beginning of high expectations, the real result of the implementation of network users to switch to no more than 5%, most of the 1% and 2% users.
time that, in fact, number portability is to reduce the threshold of consumer choice operator, will stimulate the operating companies to provide consumers with better service and better communications products.
following is a chat Record:

Sina Technology: netizens, Hello everybody! Today, Hainan and Tianjin number portability pilot the next day, we invited two SAN important guests, our guest of our talk show to chat with this important topic. The two guests of Economics and Management, Beijing University of Posts and Telecommunications Professor Mr. Zeng Jianqiu, another is the time TD, Mr. Secretary-General of the Technical Forum. Today we talk about this topic mainly because of number portability is now, operators are very large hot spot, because the meaning of number portability is that users do not change numbers to another operator network or access to services, we will call the two ask guests to good friends.
Zeng Jianqiu: Hello everybody!
time: you friends, Hello everybody!
Sina Technology: Today, we can and chat about, first ask the two experts to tell us about your understanding of number portability will give users what kind of benefits?
Zeng Jianqiu: number portability also known as number portability, such a policy should be said that in recent years in many countries, particularly developed countries, keen to promote a policy. Why number portability or number portability this policy? Host has just mentioned, number portability is that users have a number, in the past you are bound in a company, now have such a policy later, you can go to another company, that is, with your number to another a company to go. The implementation of this policy, in fact, the basic background is because the relevant government departments Ye Hao, Ye Hao regulatory authorities, there is a basic judgments, that is, the basic stability of the market, and not because of these policies to severe market fluctuations, leading to vicious competition, they have such a judge, of course, the premise is to make policies to promote the development of the market more stable.
So I sum up, number portability or number portability, the government pushed a policy, including China to push such a policy now, I think there are two main points:

the first point, pushing number portability or number portability is to allow consumers more choice, that is, to maintain more consumers. We have just mentioned, why the Government to push this? He thinks you equal, and this time can be considered more consumer choice.
the second point, the government pushed a policy is to do more to live in this market that is through the policies and measures to promote the development of this market, of course, not large fluctuations. This stimulation is to stimulate effective competition in this, its purpose is to enable operators to provide better service.
So I think that such a policy to promote, for the purpose of his enterprises is to improve service levels and service capabilities, for consumers, number portability through a network, they will be enjoy better service. This is my number portability work to promote understanding.
time: I just think I have taught about has been very thorough and very comprehensive, due to the nature of my work is concerned, I may be more concerned about the number portability of this experimental work embodied therein TD TD against technology and industry targeted measures. I noticed that both men believe in our public documents issued by them, made clear in the number portability among the experimental work to support the development of TD, Tianjin, and Hainan in our communication measures issued by the Authority which are also reflected a, for example on the TD157, 158 number segment of special policies, I think this policy is consistent government support for TD Industries embodiment of a series of supportive policies is a very important part of them, certainly for our industry, TD development will play a very active role. My main concern is this place, I think this measure will enhance our confidence in the industry and the TD TD networks continue to make the determination.
Sina Technology: Some people who switch carriers as the pattern of China's balance of means, because the current dominance of China Mobile company, which is recognized by the fact that everyone is basically accounted for more than 70% of the share , the other two operators will only be 20% more, and almost all high-end users in China Mobile, the first number portability is the meaning of proposed, such as to follow the example of South Korea, to the largest operators the market under control. But in practice we see that the policies that we are now is not the case, because the South Koreans, the largest share of restricted operators say 50%, our China policy of number portability does not achieve this requirement. The experts predict, will not be able to achieve the pattern of operators, there will be some adjustments, there will be some balance, that is, a large share of smaller operators, small operators to share a little more, can not be achieved? Or that we this time number portability is not part of the pilot aims to achieve this?
Zeng Jianqiu: on number portability and competitive landscape, online there are many such views, saying that number portability is not is to break a single large, and I want to talk about some of the different online view, together with everyone thinking.
first one, I would like to talk about the introduction of number portability policy process. We have 5 years ago, 3 years ago,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], at least from my point of view, we participated in on number portability of the meeting is to explore, 5 years ago we began to study, so the number portability has been the policy of our actual study this problem, we have some understanding of this issue, especially in some foreign understanding.
first foreign point of view, not to say that the Korean experience is that China can go to learn from, say, or not to break a dominant, and South Korea have their own practices, but I think from a global perspective , give a simple example, say the UK, Vodafone UK market share about seventy to eighty, could move even higher than China, but Britain did not say that the market share in Korea to measure, he did not say that Therefore, the dominance of the so-called break is not a measure of a market share in this regard to reduce the large growth in such a balance the other two, does not mean that a currently accepted practice or good practice. South Korea's situation, we have done some understanding, that is just talk host, South Korea, after a market share of the control did not achieve his original request, this is the first point of view, I do not quite agree is a dominant market share from for control.
second aspect, number portability introduction of this policy, just in front of me talking about my personal knowledge, in fact, we have been studied in these areas. This is a policy introduced by the Government, definitely do not want such a policy by the large fluctuations in the market, so he will be the cut-throat competition, especially in owning household must be strict management, and the pilot cities and in the relevant in the future to promote the national process, there will be strict rules, because playing owning household should be said that this market is a kind of damage.
third aspect, how about number portability to know it. Our country is now number portability in phases, the first pilot, and then gradually extend, the actual number portability specifically divided into three phases, the first stage, one-way transfer network, the second phase, two-way switch network, the first three stages, free transfer network.
-way switch to other networks, that is, I go from a one carrier to another company, but not vice versa, just can not turn election. Two-way switch to other networks, that A and B can be two-way to turn. Free transfer network is free, consumers decide.
example, one-way transfer network, one-way switch to other networks do not generally suitable for a balanced development of the market place, is relatively large difference between, say, Hainan, Hainan move relatively strong, relatively speaking, or more powerful some, Telecom, China Unicom relatively weak, which is also representative in the country, the pilot. Tianjin, a number of relatively more balanced market, of course, Tianjin Mobile number is still relatively strong, and Tianjin Mobile service is also doing well, I was 22 also went to Tianjin to know the number portability, just in Tianjin, we have understand some of their situation. This market, relatively speaking, such as Hainan, its market is relatively balanced, we could be two-way switch to other networks, but not the free transfer network.
said first switch network or Internet users to the consumer what is? We actually want is a free transfer network, why do we not too clear on what this understanding, we each have their own understanding of it? Some people believe that, through number portability so that the declining share of market competition, such as one-way switch to other networks, such as China Mobile, China only allowed to go to a small network, such as going to the top of the disadvantaged, so that the market share gradually decreased. But this policy on the one hand has its positive side, including two-way switch to other networks, can reduce the share of large network is conducive to development and growth of net sales. But this policy has its negative effects, if some weak operating companies to rely on policy, for example, allows only one-way transfer of his share of networks increase, so that he might have a lazy, he would try to research the Government, the portability Finally, there is bi-directional switch network, a free transfer network, so the number portability policy is not to stay in the first stage, and finally to the third stage.
us that the true number portability is a free switch to other networks, only to be able to freely transfer net tangible consumer benefits, in order to ensure his rights, if it is a one-way transfer nets Under the circumstances it would be like, one-way transfer from one network operator is likely to go to another carrier after the original was not too happy about that, I went to another carrier even more dissatisfied, but can not go back to back because he is not bi-directional switch network, switch network is not free, so we said switch network is free to consumers have a real interest.
truly free transfer network is like? Net really free transfer after the consumers are free to flow back and forth, back and forth movement of the results of the bigger, Tai must have a competitive advantage, and a large network of service may be better than the small network, of course, not absolute. The result may be vulnerable at this time the user more operators operators to run strong, so a balanced understanding of the market, understanding the pattern, today I might spend a little more time to explain a little.
talked about competition and number portability between networks? Government hopes to achieve is to achieve the user interests of consumers, while keeping a balance in this market, can stimulate the development of this market. Therefore, number portability is definitely not going to change this pattern, especially the great change the competitive landscape, great freedom of changing the competitive landscape, then switch to other networks on a real big change. Therefore, we number portability policy and market competition, and I hope that we have a rational understanding of number portability is not to say to each operator after the user in order to compete competing bids to take measures such as price competition, not This result, if the result will be to review the regulatory authorities.
time: I think the teacher was talking about was very profound, very comprehensive, and I especially agree with the teacher's point of view was. I think that kind of thinking may be we have to weapons, that seem to rely on market competition pattern is one of the government to cut a few acts of the Government to intervene in the competitive landscape, we may have to abandon such an idea.
I think the number portability of the experimental work, I think it is governments that we may be more wise government regulation, a strategy that I am the way to the introduction of competition in the market to a more healthy more formal way up, in fact, number portability is to reduce consumer choice operators we have the threshold, if the freedom to achieve the final switch to other networks, our customers can say that there is no threshold. This is a normal way of market competition, I think that if the lower threshold of consumer choice, it will stimulate our operating companies to provide our consumers with better services, provide better communications products to attract our consumer to use his network, I think maybe this is our government guidance and supervision of market competition even more brilliant strategy. This is my personal understanding of a shallow.
Sina Technology: Next I would like to ask the two analysis to determine what, because this is a one-way switch to other networks in Hainan, so there may be which operator number portability in the dominant pilot problem,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], and Tianjin, the three operators are actually transferred between each other. Therefore, to determine what the two experts,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], the pilot in Tianjin, which operator will flow out from the many? Which operators have access to more?
Zeng Jianqiu: Because 22 to carry out number portability, 21, on Sunday I went to Tianjin, there is a very important purpose, but also want to know the number portability in Tianjin pilot case because not the same as in Tianjin with the Hainan, Tianjin, two-way switch to other networks, Hainan is one-way transfer network. According to let the host, I start with a basic judgments, as we have done some research in this area, we actually have been doing research in this area, but I give an introduction, in fact, there are specialists to do our domestic much stronger than me, a professor named Gong Shuangjin, the old professor, a female professor, is highly respected professor, she has been unknown for so many years doing number portability or number portability, we met three years ago, I learn from her, of course, we also report the results of our own.
I judge what is it? From a global point of view, from the world perspective, number portability or number portability fact, many countries have done, the process of doing a basic experience or conclusions of number portability implemented this policy since the beginning of hope high, the real result of the implementation of what is it? No more than 5%, most of the 1% and 2% of the users, that number portability implemented this policy after many, many users will not have to switch to other networks. In fact, through the experience of other countries we can judge, to ask why is the law of the Internet economy, a large network, these users in it, the general said, if there does not appear in the net number of special circumstances not to switch to other networks, will not toss This thing, unless that this policy have to adjust, for example, allows you to price, allowing you to compete on price, you go inside to another network, the network gives you a lot of benefits, may be willing to go this time, if the No where in the network can be used to change to another network, we survey asked consumers directly, that you are willing to switch? Generally reluctant to switch to, human inertia, the viscosity of people, the user's viscosity, the characteristics of the network economy to ensure this. So based on the judgments, and our study abroad to understand, I think with Tianjin as an example, the first the first one, I think that users switch to other networks will not exceed 5%. Previous
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