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Crisis of 1. Japan national debt
In all industrialized countries, finance state of Japan is the poorest, according to IMF statistic, japanese government debt is equivalent to GDP 229% (the United States is 92% , italy 126% ) . And did not come in what can foreknow, japanese finance does not have the evidence that improve, still will annual deficit.
Japan is successive deficit of a few years of finance, it has so multilateral debt, why to cause national debt crisis? This should speak of from the age structure of Japanese mouth. Japan greeted population to grow a height to 1960 1945, amount of this generation population is numerous, be called infantile current period; And Japan 1930 to 1945 generation number is measured little. In the meantime,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych] on sale,, japan has endowment insurance system, the endowment insurance that this generation person that infantile current period is born pays is used at feeding the 1930 generation people that are born to 1945,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych] on sale,, because 30 years of amounts to person of 45 years of generation are little, annuities appeared balance of a huge sum. What do these pension surplus invest? The safest project buys Japan debt namely. Japan debt one by hold of fund of Japanese endowment insurance, still one part is mixed by insurance company big bank hold. Japanese national debt 95% by the orgnaization inside Japan and dweller hold, not anxious national debt sells do not go out.
The population that as Japanese baby tide the times is born enters emeritus age, japan pension expenses increases quickly, endowment insurance fund turns by profit for be in debt, cannot continue to buy Japan debt not only, contrary need sells debt going abroad. December 2010, of occur for the first time of fund of Japanese endowment insurance sell Japan debt, this is a dangerous signal. Henceforth in 10 years, meeting twice increases the be in debt of fund of Japanese provide for the aged, sell the national debt that give also can increase like snowball. Company of grade of Er of American standard general warns Japanese government, the budget must be balanced in new financial year, reduce finance deficit, will reduce Japan debt grade otherwise. But Japanese government cannot reduce deficit.
The average that Chinese foreign currency invests company occur for the first time this year Japan debt, before Chinese respect is to cannot buy Japan debt, japan debt sells one sky in home, foreign investor does not have the opportunity that have a hand in basically. National debt of Chinese average Japan, cause the high attention of Japanese political circles and business circles, japanese government criticises China buys Japan debt to bring about yen to appreciate, after Japanese business circles worries about national debt of Chinese hold Japan, can hold economic lifeblood of Japan.
2. day money achieves 15 years to the dollar new tall
Scope of Chinese foreign exchange reserve is vast, each monetary investment are fund, right strong fund and orgnaization investor are in charge of the words and deeds of the bureau external very sensitive (the someone watchs news broadcast over a radio network every day) , successive of 7 months add the appeal effect that opposes action very red fruit. And China is added those who hold is short-term national debt, the meaning below character, china anabiosises to Japanese long-term economy and ungodly, do not wish to invest for a long time to Japan debt and yen, just stem from short-term avoid danger? Hype? Invest dispersedly? purpose and buy. Have profit, international comes in great numbers after hot money is natural, exchange rate of yen add dollar is pushed from this nod high newly high to 15 years. Because yen appreciates, if be calculated with the dollar,Japanese government is in debt, will increase once more (a lot of external debt are dollar valuation) . And appreciate as a result of yen internally, japanese exit suffers blow, company income decreases, taxation decreases, governmental income decreases. Can see, once yen exchange rate upsurges all the way, american people and German people are the issue that sends message of congratulation to support aloud rapidly, treaty of the 2nd square is not impossible. The gladdest of course returning is our China, hit on one hand pressed you, forcing you are become to me on one hand bullet. Japanese is forced without method, can dispatch troops only fishing. Do not think Japanese is very dull like to play territorial dispute with you, the backside that any politics struggle is economic fight.
3. procrastinates go down, japan should eat shrivelled sooner or later (this more hopeful idea that is my individual, welcome everybody discussion criticism! )
China buys the High that Japan debt buys, but Japan has money to be bought do not come to China national debt, your China can take this that is to say small knife, my Japan however bare-handed iron, effort also cannot is opposite with fist greatly small knife ah. . . . Then they catch a captain. Japan dispatchs troops fishing forces with respect to the purpose China abandons adding namely hold Japan debt. We want only not urgent not slow follow his bad news slow, continue privately not urgent not slow the national debt that buys him slow, follow suit in the abidance of international adventurer below, the pressure of Japanese will be greater and greater,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych] on sale,, final or fights or compromises. Fight the individual thinks possibility is not large. This battles and do not say to be defeated win, to the influence of national bread and the development to future, apparent Japan is more deficient, good 20 years when walk out of lose not easily, hit battle be afraid of is to continue lose N10 year. But as China different, this is the divine action that defends territory, be justice, sacrifice is glorious... ... (balabala10000 word, everybody is informal YY) . Compromise, no more than blocks bullet and so on to China, how to block, how much blocking is the issue that economist discusses then. So we procrastinate simply, procrastinating after all is we gain extra advantage unfairly.
The footing with Euramerican 4. ? ?
Beautiful day is allied actually not firm, actually Sino-Japanese beautiful the Three Kingdoms, that one any countries take shrivelled, additionally two countries are very glad. American liked day money exchange rate to appreciate of course, advantage is great. National debt crisis of Japan is being placed over, if be in associated Japan to hit,press RMB exchange rate and associated China to hit exchange rate of the money that approach day the word of both choice,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych] on sale,, it is latter risk apparently smaller more be to one's profit, the person that think open a way but " weathy " China, think again second when borrowing the crisis, japanese can not be in less knives of American backside disclose, and hit pressing the Japanese promotion to American product competition ability also is not small. The European Union does not talk, grass of the top of a wall, over there wind is big there fall. International hot money is not to talk more, having a grandma is a woman. Of course American also does not wriggle, dozen press Japan to let China develop directly namely, so American government also is in hesitant, it is to sell ally to earn easy money, still spelled China to earn painstaking money. But investment home of the United States people did not hesitate,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych] on sale,, the place that money earns has them, american much home has begun to make empty Japan national debt to pouring fund. This comes loose to broad international investment door for it is a signal: Want to make money, buy Japan debt, it is affirmative that yen appreciates! ! From last year the end of the year arrives now, the fund that has had many sides flows into Japan to copy a copy in the project such as estate, among them our Wen Zhou fries room group. . . .
Why is 5. home public opinion pessimistic completely? ?
This is made artificially, what the government needs is the atmosphere that this kind of move be forcinged starts work. Bunny pretended to be bullied, will if you want to hit,can state internally, this war the one party that we are justice; The 2 blood type that will arouse everybody and fight, then everybody fights day parade sb through the streets, give Japanese and foreigner so a kind " we am not afraid of you, you want fight I battle, you are frightened not dead me " feeling. urgent to be being forced the Japan of exert thunderbolt method will tell, the manner of Chinese people makes him very awkward, hit, my general faces the foe of ten share a bitter hatred of the enemy, do not hit, china continues to buy rearward of our country debt disclose my knives. Actually our formally still takes actor, everybody sees fishing crisis in, who be after all impatient who knew in next heavy hands.
PS: Since September, yen exchange rate goes tall continuously, after catching a captain China purchases many Japan national debt suddenly again, make yen direct the breakthrough comes 15 years apogee, next Japanese put a crew immediately. . . .
I am not 5 wool, just speak different opinion to the situation of full market pessimism, welcome everybody to criticize! powered by:[link widoczny dla zalogowanych]
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